Port Vale vs Charlton Athletic Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Port Vale v Charlton Athletic — Team-Based Signals
Port Vale vs Charlton Athletic Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2-3
HT 1-0
Port Vale
İN1
3-2
HT 1-0
Port Vale
İN1
1-0
HT 0-0
Charlton Athletic
İN1
2-0
HT 2-0
Port Vale
İN1
1-1
HT 0-1
Charlton Athletic
İN1
Port Vale 3-3 Charlton Athletic — Actual Match Statistics
Port Vale and Charlton Athletic couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Port Vale at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Port Vale had 45% of the ball to Charlton Athletic's 55%, shots finished 29-7, expected goals 2.54 to 1.22.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Port Vale and 1.60 for Charlton Athletic.
What was the final score of Port Vale vs Charlton Athletic?
Port Vale 3-3 Charlton Athletic in the England - 1st Division on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Port Vale vs Charlton Athletic?
Before kick-off our model rated a Port Vale win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Port Vale 43%, draw 25%, Charlton Athletic 32%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.