Pianese 1-1 Ascoli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 6 Jan 2025

📅06/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.47
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.64
Over 2.5
48%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.52
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
4.17
6+ Goals
9%
21.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-2.8pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.2pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
57%
-5.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
43%
+5.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.9pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pianese EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Ascoli EU Bookmakers 37%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.75/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.43
+51% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -23%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
303 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pianese
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Ascoli
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
02.09.2024 Ascoli Ascoli 1-0 HT 1-0 Pianese Pianese İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pianese
1-1
AWAY Ascoli
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Pianese vs Ascoli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pianese and Ascoli shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 31% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Pianese had 62% of the ball to Ascoli's 38%, shots finished 17-7.

What was the final score of Pianese vs Ascoli?

Pianese 1-1 Ascoli in the Italy - Serie C on 06/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pianese vs Ascoli?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ascoli win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Pianese 34%, draw 31%, Ascoli 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ascoli) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ascoli) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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