Pro Patria 1-2 GIANA Erminio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 6 Jan 2025

📅06/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
32%
2.83
Away
30%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.45
Over 2.5
39%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.04
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
16%
5.55
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
19%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+4.2pp
32%
Draw
32%
-0.1pp
30%
Away Win
34%
-4.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
65%
-4.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
35%
+4.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.0pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pro Patria EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY GIANA Erminio EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +8%
0.98/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/0.55
-16% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +102%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
280 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pro Patria
2W-3D-1L
AWAY GIANA Erminio
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2024 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 1-1 HT 0-1 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
06.01.2024 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 1-2 HT 0-1 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
03.09.2023 Pro Patria Pro Patria 1-2 HT 0-1 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
13.03.2022 Pro Patria Pro Patria 5-1 HT 2-0 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
31.10.2021 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 1-1 HT 0-1 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
18.04.2021 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 1-1 HT 1-0 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pro Patria
1-2
AWAY GIANA Erminio
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pro Patria vs GIANA Erminio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GIANA Erminio squeezed past Pro Patria 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 32% / 30% — and on the day GIANA Erminio made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pro Patria had 47% of the ball to GIANA Erminio's 53%, shots finished 8-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pro Patria had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Pro Patria and 1.17 for GIANA Erminio.

What was the final score of Pro Patria vs GIANA Erminio?

Pro Patria 1-2 GIANA Erminio in the Italy - Serie C on 06/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pro Patria vs GIANA Erminio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pro Patria win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Pro Patria 38%, draw 32%, GIANA Erminio 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pro Patria) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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