Pro Vercelli 3-3 Lumezzane — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 6 Jan 2025

📅06/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.51
Over 2.5
45%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.17
2-3 Goals
36%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
5.06
6+ Goals
9%
32.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-0.7pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.3pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+3.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-7.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+7.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.3pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pro Vercelli EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Lumezzane EU Bookmakers 34%
-7% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +3%
1.03/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.02
-15% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +13%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
288 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pro Vercelli
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Lumezzane
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.09.2024 Lumezzane Lumezzane 0-2 HT 0-1 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
08.01.2024 Lumezzane Lumezzane 0-3 HT 0-2 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
04.09.2023 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 4-1 HT 2-1 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTC
05.01.2014 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 1-0 HT 1-0 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pro Vercelli
3-3
AWAY Lumezzane
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pro Vercelli vs Lumezzane
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pro Vercelli and Lumezzane couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pro Vercelli had 50% of the ball to Lumezzane's 50%, shots finished 8-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Pro Vercelli had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Pro Vercelli and 0.25 for Lumezzane.

What was the final score of Pro Vercelli vs Lumezzane?

Pro Vercelli 3-3 Lumezzane in the Italy - Serie C on 06/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pro Vercelli vs Lumezzane?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pro Vercelli win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Pro Vercelli 38%, draw 27%, Lumezzane 35%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pro Vercelli) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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