Roma (K) 3-1 Fiorentina (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İTKSK, 6 Jan 2025

📅06/01/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.53
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
20%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.63
No
55%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
27%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
3%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
61%
-6.9pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.5pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
57%
-11.8pp
55%
BTTS No
43%
+11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roma (K) EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Fiorentina (K) EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
298 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roma (K)
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Fiorentina (K)
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.85 xG 0.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
414 Passes 308
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
34 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 0
09.11.2024 Roma (K) Roma (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) İTKSA
19.05.2024 Roma (K) Roma (K) 5-0 HT 1-0 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) İTKSA
20.04.2024 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Roma (K) Roma (K) İTKSA
17.02.2024 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 Roma (K) Roma (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roma (K)
3-1
AWAY Fiorentina (K)
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
365 Passes 337
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Roma (K) vs Fiorentina (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roma (K) got the better of Fiorentina (K) 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Roma (K) as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Roma (K) had 51% of the ball to Fiorentina (K)'s 49%, shots finished 14-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Roma (K) had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Roma (K) and 0.00 for Fiorentina (K).

What was the final score of Roma (K) vs Fiorentina (K)?

Roma (K) 3-1 Fiorentina (K) in the İTKSK on 06/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roma (K) vs Fiorentina (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Roma (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Roma (K) 54%, draw 26%, Fiorentina (K) 20%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roma (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Roma (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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