Lecce 0-2 Roma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 6 Jan 2026

Lecce
0-2 HT 0-1
Roma
📅06/01/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.13
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
50%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.64
Over
49%
2.05
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
53%
2.05
No
47%
1.69
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2.61
2-3
37%
1.76
4-5
19%
4.34
6+
12%
22.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
8.27
1/2
8%
28.0
1/X
4%
16.55
X/1
7%
9.51
X/2
15%
4.18
X/X
14%
4.31
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
27%
2.34
2/X
4%
14.7
Value flag · 1/2 at 28.0 — our 8% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lecce The Market 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Roma The Market 57%
Weak Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Bad Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
1.03 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.82
1.69 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 0.99
Weak Attackvs comparable teams Average
Weak Defensevs comparable teams Average
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
252 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 84%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.3
18.1 Crosses 17.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lecce
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Roma
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.83 xG 2.23
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
249 Passes 416
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2025 Lecce Lecce 0-1 HT 0-0 Roma Roma İTA
07.12.2024 Roma Roma 4-1 HT 1-1 Lecce Lecce İTA
01.04.2024 Lecce Lecce 0-0 HT 0-0 Roma Roma İTA
05.11.2023 Roma Roma 2-1 HT 0-0 Lecce Lecce İTA
11.02.2023 Lecce Lecce 1-1 HT 1-1 Roma Roma İTA
09.10.2022 Roma Roma 2-1 HT 1-1 Lecce Lecce İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lecce
0-2
AWAY Roma
0.55 xG 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
314 Passes 307
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
12 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Lecce vs Roma
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Roma took care of Lecce 2-0 on their travels. Half-time: 0-1.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Roma as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 49% and both teams to score at 53%, coin-flips both. The market went further still — the BTTS-no price closed at 1.69, about 59%.

Under the surface, Lecce had 51% of the ball to Roma's 49%, shots finished 6-10, expected goals 0.55 to 1.33.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roma led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Lecce and 1.67 for Roma.

Lecce vs Roma Result & Final Score

Lecce 0-2 Roma in the Italy - Serie A on 06/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Lecce vs Roma Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Roma win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Lecce 28%, draw 22%, Roma 50%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roma), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Roma) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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