Wingate & Finchley 4-2 Chatham Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 6 Feb 2024

Wingate & Finchley
4-2
Chatham Town
📅06/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - Non League Premier – 2023/2024

Wingate & Finchley vs Chatham Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.33
Draw
21%
3.18
Away
43%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
14%
1/X
3%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
39%
-3.4pp
21%
Draw
28%
-6.7pp
43%
Away Win
33%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wingate & Finchley v Chatham Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wingate & Finchley EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Chatham Town EU Bookmakers 37%
-53% / -53% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -46% / -46%
1.02/3.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/3.00
-36% / -63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -50%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
306 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 188 · 60%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Wingate & Finchley vs Chatham Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wingate & Finchley beat Chatham Town 4-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Chatham Town at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Wingate & Finchley vs Chatham Town?

Wingate & Finchley 4-2 Chatham Town in the England - Non League Premier on 06/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wingate & Finchley vs Chatham Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chatham Town win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Wingate & Finchley 36%, draw 21%, Chatham Town 43%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chatham Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chatham Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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