Boluspor 1-4 Galatasaray — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 6 Feb 2025

📅06/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
7.18
Draw
21%
5.28
Away
47%
1.28
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
3.14
Over 2.5
52%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
7.82
2-3 Goals
38%
2.33
4-5 Goals
22%
2.43
6+ Goals
14%
4.32
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
14.4
1/2
5%
17.75
1/X
4%
23.0
X/1 EV+ ✗
15%
19.25
X/2
15%
4.1
X/X
9%
10.0
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
27%
1.44
2/X
8%
19.95
Value flag · X/1 at 19.25 — our 15% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
11%
+21.1pp
21%
Draw
16%
+5.1pp
47%
Away Win
73%
-26.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
28%
+19.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
72%
-19.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.1pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boluspor EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Galatasaray EU Bookmakers 78%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -8%
0.37/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.57/0.83
-60% / +128% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +9%
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
278 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 457 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.0
Crosses 15.0
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boluspor
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Galatasaray
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
29.01.2019 Galatasaray Galatasaray 4-1 HT 2-0 Boluspor Boluspor TÜK
22.01.2019 Boluspor Boluspor 0-1 HT 0-1 Galatasaray Galatasaray TÜK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boluspor
1-4
AWAY Galatasaray
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Boluspor vs Galatasaray
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Galatasaray ran out comfortable winners over Boluspor 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Galatasaray as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Boluspor had 45% of the ball to Galatasaray's 55%, shots finished 7-13.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Galatasaray led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Boluspor and 2.50 for Galatasaray.

What was the final score of Boluspor vs Galatasaray?

Boluspor 1-4 Galatasaray in the Turkey - Cup on 06/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boluspor vs Galatasaray?

Before kick-off our model rated an Galatasaray win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Boluspor 32%, draw 21%, Galatasaray 47%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Galatasaray), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Galatasaray) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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