Alanyaspor 4-1 Fatih Karagümrük — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 6 Feb 2025

📅06/02/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.3
Draw
22%
4.95
Away
25%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.38
Over 2.5
55%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.05
2-3 Goals
37%
1.99
4-5 Goals
24%
2.78
6+ Goals
15%
7.24
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.49
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
20.95
X/1
22%
3.79
X/2
9%
18.35
X/X
8%
8.18
2/1
6%
20.8
2/2
10%
15.4
2/X
8%
24.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
72%
-19.0pp
22%
Draw
17%
+5.4pp
24%
Away Win
11%
+13.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.6pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alanyaspor EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Fatih Karagümrük EU Bookmakers 14%
+8% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
3.51/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.77
+43% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +83% / +37%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
409 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alanyaspor
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Fatih Karagümrük
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.66 xG 1.28
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
424 Passes 366
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
27 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.02.2024 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 1-1 HT 1-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
06.10.2023 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 2-1 HT 1-0 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük TSL
22.01.2023 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 2-2 HT 1-0 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük TSL
07.08.2022 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 2-4 HT 0-2 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
22.05.2022 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 0-1 HT 0-1 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
26.12.2021 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alanyaspor
4-1
AWAY Fatih Karagümrük
65% Ball Possession 35%
11 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Alanyaspor vs Fatih Karagümrük
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alanyaspor ran out comfortable winners over Fatih Karagümrük 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Alanyaspor as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Alanyaspor had 65% of the ball to Fatih Karagümrük's 35%, shots finished 11-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alanyaspor had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Alanyaspor and 1.17 for Fatih Karagümrük.

What was the final score of Alanyaspor vs Fatih Karagümrük?

Alanyaspor 4-1 Fatih Karagümrük in the Turkey - Cup on 06/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alanyaspor vs Fatih Karagümrük?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alanyaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Alanyaspor 53%, draw 22%, Fatih Karagümrük 24%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alanyaspor), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alanyaspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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