Göztepe 1-0 Gaziantep FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 6 Feb 2025

📅06/02/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.53
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
19%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.8
2-3 Goals
38%
1.85
4-5 Goals
25%
3.26
6+ Goals
10%
11.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.8 — our 27% vs market 21.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.9
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.65
X/1
17%
4.0
X/2
8%
11.5
X/X
11%
5.8
2/1
9%
22.1
2/2
6%
9.41
2/X
6%
17.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
61%
-3.7pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.3pp
19%
Away Win
17%
+1.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.3pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Göztepe EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Gaziantep FK EU Bookmakers 21%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
2.30/0.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.98
+7% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
361 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Göztepe
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Gaziantep FK
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.54 xG 1.65
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
294 Passes 287
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.11.2024 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 2-1 HT 0-0 Göztepe Göztepe TSL
23.04.2022 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 1-1 HT 0-0 Göztepe Göztepe TSL
06.12.2021 Göztepe Göztepe 2-1 HT 2-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
08.02.2021 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 2-0 HT 0-0 Göztepe Göztepe TSL
26.09.2020 Göztepe Göztepe 2-2 HT 0-1 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
22.02.2020 Göztepe Göztepe 1-1 HT 0-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Göztepe
1-0
AWAY Gaziantep FK
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Göztepe vs Gaziantep FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Göztepe edged past Gaziantep FK 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Göztepe as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Göztepe had 56% of the ball to Gaziantep FK's 44%, shots finished 15-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gaziantep FK led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Göztepe and 1.50 for Gaziantep FK.

What was the final score of Göztepe vs Gaziantep FK?

Göztepe 1-0 Gaziantep FK in the Turkey - Cup on 06/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Göztepe vs Gaziantep FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Göztepe win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Göztepe 57%, draw 24%, Gaziantep FK 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Göztepe), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Göztepe) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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