İstanbulspor 2-0 Kasımpaşa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 6 Feb 2025

İstanbulspor
2-0 HT 2-0
Kasımpaşa
📅06/02/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Turkey - Cup – 2024/2025

İstanbulspor vs Kasımpaşa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
25%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.5
No
50%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
50%
+0.4pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.7pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-2.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
62%
-12.5pp
50%
BTTS No
38%
+12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

İstanbulspor v Kasımpaşa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İstanbulspor EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Kasımpaşa EU Bookmakers 31%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
2.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/2.00
+13% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
330 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

İstanbulspor vs Kasımpaşa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İstanbulspor
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Kasımpaşa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.14 xG 1.59
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
367 Passes 341
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.03.2024 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 1-2 HT 1-0 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
27.10.2023 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 3-1 HT 1-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor TSL
20.05.2023 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 1-0 HT 0-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor TSL
28.12.2022 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 2-1 HT 1-1 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
05.08.2017 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 3-1 HT 0-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor HAZ
26.09.2012 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 1-3 HT 1-0 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TÜK

İstanbulspor 2-0 Kasımpaşa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İstanbulspor
2-0
AWAY Kasımpaşa
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH İstanbulspor vs Kasımpaşa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İstanbulspor got the better of Kasımpaşa 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had İstanbulspor as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, İstanbulspor had 49% of the ball to Kasımpaşa's 51%, shots finished 13-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kasımpaşa led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for İstanbulspor and 2.17 for Kasımpaşa.

What was the final score of İstanbulspor vs Kasımpaşa?

İstanbulspor 2-0 Kasımpaşa in the Turkey - Cup on 06/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İstanbulspor vs Kasımpaşa?

Before kick-off our model rated a İstanbulspor win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split İstanbulspor 50%, draw 25%, Kasımpaşa 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İstanbulspor) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İstanbulspor) ✗ Over 2.5
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