İstanbulspor vs Kasımpaşa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
İstanbulspor v Kasımpaşa — Team-Based Signals
İstanbulspor vs Kasımpaşa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 1-0
İstanbulspor
TSL
1-0
HT 0-0
İstanbulspor
TSL
2-1
HT 1-1
Kasımpaşa
TSL
3-1
HT 0-0
İstanbulspor
HAZ
1-3
HT 1-0
Kasımpaşa
TÜK
2-1
HT 2-0
İstanbulspor
T1L
İstanbulspor 1-2 Kasımpaşa — Actual Match Statistics
Kasımpaşa nicked a narrow win over İstanbulspor 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Kasımpaşa as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, İstanbulspor had 43% of the ball to Kasımpaşa's 57%, shots finished 8-24, expected goals 0.57 to 2.05 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Kasımpaşa's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kasımpaşa led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for İstanbulspor and 2.17 for Kasımpaşa.
What was the final score of İstanbulspor vs Kasımpaşa?
İstanbulspor 1-2 Kasımpaşa in the Turkey - Super League on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for İstanbulspor vs Kasımpaşa?
Before kick-off our model rated an Kasımpaşa win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split İstanbulspor 26%, draw 26%, Kasımpaşa 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kasımpaşa), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.