Fenerbahçe 4-1 Pendikspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.25
Draw
17%
5.71
Away
15%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.98
Over 2.5
60%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.75
No
55%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
7.61
2-3 Goals
39%
2.26
4-5 Goals
25%
2.42
6+ Goals
16%
4.43
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1.36
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
25.5
X/1
24%
3.63
X/2
8%
24.85
X/X
6%
10.85
2/1
6%
19.85
2/2
4%
16.85
2/X
5%
24.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
76%
-8.3pp
17%
Draw
15%
+2.6pp
15%
Away Win
10%
+5.6pp
40%
Under 2.5
30%
+10.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
70%
-10.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.7pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fenerbahçe EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Pendikspor EU Bookmakers 12%
-3% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
2.35/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.68
+17% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +6%
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
463 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 74%
32.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
21.3 Crosses 19.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fenerbahçe
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Pendikspor
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
3.41 xG 0.55
62% Ball Possession 38%
21 Total Shots 2
12 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 0
497 Passes 275
88% Pass Accuracy 78%
47 Box Touches 4
16 Crosses 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.10.2023 Pendikspor Pendikspor 0-5 HT 0-2 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
28.11.2012 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 1-0 HT 1-0 Pendikspor Pendikspor TÜK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fenerbahçe
4-1
AWAY Pendikspor
2.71 xG 0.57
67% Ball Possession 33%
22 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 1
413 Passes 154
83% Pass Accuracy 62%
45 Box Touches 5
36 Crosses 10
6 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Fenerbahçe vs Pendikspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fenerbahçe swept aside Pendikspor 4-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fenerbahçe as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Fenerbahçe had 67% of the ball to Pendikspor's 33%, shots finished 22-4, expected goals 2.71 to 0.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Fenerbahçe had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Fenerbahçe and 0.00 for Pendikspor.

What was the final score of Fenerbahçe vs Pendikspor?

Fenerbahçe 4-1 Pendikspor in the Turkey - Super League on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fenerbahçe vs Pendikspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fenerbahçe win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Fenerbahçe 68%, draw 17%, Pendikspor 15%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fenerbahçe), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fenerbahçe) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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