Samsunspor 2-1 MKE Ankaragücü — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
37%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.62
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.48
6+ Goals
13%
23.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
2.93
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.7
X/1
17%
4.43
X/2
13%
6.95
X/X
12%
4.0
2/1
10%
29.0
2/2
18%
5.55
2/X
7%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-5.8pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.4pp
37%
Away Win
26%
+10.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.1pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Samsunspor EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY MKE Ankaragücü EU Bookmakers 30%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
1.46/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.36
+7% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +9%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
362 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 73%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
21.5 Crosses 15.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Samsunspor
2W-2D-2L
AWAY MKE Ankaragücü
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.89 xG 1.09
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
326 Passes 332
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.10.2023 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 2-0 HT 0-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL
01.05.2022 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 0-0 HT 0-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor T1L
12.12.2021 Samsunspor Samsunspor 2-0 HT 0-0 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü T1L
20.02.2018 Samsunspor Samsunspor 1-1 HT 1-1 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü T1L
24.09.2017 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 1-0 HT 0-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor T1L
29.07.2017 Samsunspor Samsunspor 1-0 HT 1-0 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Samsunspor
2-1
AWAY MKE Ankaragücü
1.72 xG 0.14
49% Ball Possession 51%
21 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 2
275 Passes 275
73% Pass Accuracy 71%
32 Box Touches 8
13 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Samsunspor vs MKE Ankaragücü
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Samsunspor edged past MKE Ankaragücü 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 37%) promised a tight game; Samsunspor found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Samsunspor had 49% of the ball to MKE Ankaragücü's 51%, shots finished 21-6, expected goals 1.72 to 0.14 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Samsunspor's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Samsunspor and 0.67 for MKE Ankaragücü.

What was the final score of Samsunspor vs MKE Ankaragücü?

Samsunspor 2-1 MKE Ankaragücü in the Turkey - Super League on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Samsunspor vs MKE Ankaragücü?

Before kick-off our model rated a Samsunspor win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Samsunspor 39%, draw 24%, MKE Ankaragücü 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Samsunspor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Samsunspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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