Yokohama F. Marinos 2-3 Machida Zelvia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 6 Feb 2026

📅06/02/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.75
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
47%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.7
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
4.18
6+ Goals
9%
20.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.7 — our 34% vs market 30.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
7.0
1/2
7%
27.0
1/X
5%
15.65
X/1
12%
8.37
X/2
10%
4.33
X/X
13%
4.36
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
31%
2.55
2/X
8%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
23%
+3.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.2pp
47%
Away Win
50%
-2.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.8pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Machida Zelvia EU Bookmakers 54%
+8% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.02/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.16
+35% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +121%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
310 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 79%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
14.9 Crosses 19.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Machida Zelvia
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
0.87 xG 1.02
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
293 Passes 260
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 28
11 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.08.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 0-0 HT 0-0 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JAP
31.05.2025 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 0-3 HT 0-2 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
20.07.2024 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 1-2 HT 0-2 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
15.06.2024 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 1-3 HT 1-1 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JAP
12.07.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 1-4 HT 0-2 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JPK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos
2-3
AWAY Machida Zelvia
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Yokohama F. Marinos vs Machida Zelvia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Machida Zelvia squeezed past Yokohama F. Marinos 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Machida Zelvia as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Yokohama F. Marinos had 63% of the ball to Machida Zelvia's 37%, shots finished 13-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Yokohama F. Marinos and 1.60 for Machida Zelvia.

What was the final score of Yokohama F. Marinos vs Machida Zelvia?

Yokohama F. Marinos 2-3 Machida Zelvia in the Japan - J1 League on 06/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Machida Zelvia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Machida Zelvia win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Yokohama F. Marinos 27%, draw 26%, Machida Zelvia 47%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Machida Zelvia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Machida Zelvia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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