Machida Zelvia 0-3 Yokohama F. Marinos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 31 May 2025

📅31/05/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.83
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
3.11
6+ Goals
10%
10.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.83 — our 29% vs market 20.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.35
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
9%
13.9
X/1
19%
4.48
X/2
10%
8.74
X/X
9%
5.52
2/1
6%
22.0
2/2
12%
6.53
2/X
7%
15.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-5.4pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.7pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.3pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Machida Zelvia EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos EU Bookmakers 27%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -13%
1.79/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.59
-13% / +69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -28%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
390 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 76%
30.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
21.2 Crosses 19.6
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Machida Zelvia
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.52 xG 1.72
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
222 Passes 381
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 20
31 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.07.2024 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 1-2 HT 0-2 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
15.06.2024 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 1-3 HT 1-1 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JAP
12.07.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 1-4 HT 0-2 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JPK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Machida Zelvia
0-3
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos
1.47 xG 0.55
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
277 Passes 218
74% Pass Accuracy 68%
41 Box Touches 11
30 Crosses 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Machida Zelvia vs Yokohama F. Marinos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yokohama F. Marinos ran out comfortable winners over Machida Zelvia 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Machida Zelvia at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Machida Zelvia had 56% of the ball to Yokohama F. Marinos's 44%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 1.47 to 0.55 — on chances, Machida Zelvia could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Machida Zelvia had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Machida Zelvia and 1.33 for Yokohama F. Marinos.

What was the final score of Machida Zelvia vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Machida Zelvia 0-3 Yokohama F. Marinos in the Japan - J1 League on 31/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Machida Zelvia vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Machida Zelvia win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Machida Zelvia 47%, draw 25%, Yokohama F. Marinos 28%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Machida Zelvia), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Machida Zelvia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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