Machida Zelvia vs Yokohama F. Marinos Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Machida Zelvia v Yokohama F. Marinos — Team-Based Signals
Machida Zelvia vs Yokohama F. Marinos Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-3
HT 1-1
Machida Zelvia
JAP
1-4
HT 0-2
Machida Zelvia
JPK
Machida Zelvia 1-2 Yokohama F. Marinos — Actual Match Statistics
Yokohama F. Marinos edged past Machida Zelvia 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
Our pre-match lean was Machida Zelvia at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Machida Zelvia had 41% of the ball to Yokohama F. Marinos's 59%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 0.52 to 1.72 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Yokohama F. Marinos's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Machida Zelvia had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Machida Zelvia and 1.00 for Yokohama F. Marinos.
What was the final score of Machida Zelvia vs Yokohama F. Marinos?
Machida Zelvia 1-2 Yokohama F. Marinos in the Japan - J1 League on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Machida Zelvia vs Yokohama F. Marinos?
Before kick-off our model rated a Machida Zelvia win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Machida Zelvia 44%, draw 28%, Yokohama F. Marinos 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.