Urawa Red Diamonds 3-4 Consadole Sapporo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.18
Over 2.5
55%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.36
2-3 Goals
38%
1.88
4-5 Goals
27%
2.96
6+ Goals
13%
8.83
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.23
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
4%
14.35
X/1
15%
4.19
X/2
15%
8.88
X/X
9%
5.81
2/1
8%
21.1
2/2
10%
6.27
2/X
10%
14.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-5.5pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.2pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.7pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Consadole Sapporo EU Bookmakers 27%
-6% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -10%
2.01/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.55
+10% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -29%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
430 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 78%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.4
17.8 Crosses 16.7
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Consadole Sapporo
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.48 xG 0.87
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
320 Passes 421
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 25
13 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 2
10.03.2024 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 0-1 HT 0-1 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
03.12.2023 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 0-2 HT 0-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
15.04.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 4-1 HT 0-0 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP
12.10.2022 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 1-1 HT 0-0 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP
02.04.2022 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 1-1 HT 0-1 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
09.08.2021 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 2-1 HT 1-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds
3-4
AWAY Consadole Sapporo
2.82 xG 0.75
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
434 Passes 370
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
30 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Urawa Red Diamonds vs Consadole Sapporo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Consadole Sapporo nicked a narrow win over Urawa Red Diamonds 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Urawa Red Diamonds at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Urawa Red Diamonds had 53% of the ball to Consadole Sapporo's 47%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 2.82 to 0.75 — the balance of chances actually favoured Urawa Red Diamonds.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Urawa Red Diamonds had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Urawa Red Diamonds and 0.83 for Consadole Sapporo.

What was the final score of Urawa Red Diamonds vs Consadole Sapporo?

Urawa Red Diamonds 3-4 Consadole Sapporo in the Japan - J1 League on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Urawa Red Diamonds vs Consadole Sapporo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Urawa Red Diamonds win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Urawa Red Diamonds 48%, draw 23%, Consadole Sapporo 29%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Urawa Red Diamonds) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Urawa Red Diamonds) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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