Avispa Fukuoka 0-1 Tokyo Verdy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
27%
2.88
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.48
Over 2.5
44%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.16
2-3 Goals
45%
1.81
4-5 Goals
19%
5.8
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.76
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.25
X/1
12%
4.92
X/2
12%
5.7
X/X
12%
3.45
2/1
10%
34.5
2/2
17%
4.62
2/X
7%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.1pp
27%
Draw
32%
-4.2pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
64%
-8.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
36%
+8.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.3pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avispa Fukuoka EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Tokyo Verdy EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.03/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.44
-21% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -34%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
260 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
19.1 Crosses 13.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avispa Fukuoka
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Tokyo Verdy
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
28.04.2024 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 0-0 HT 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
25.11.2020 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 1-1 HT 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP2
12.08.2020 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 1-3 HT 0-2 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JAP2
02.11.2019 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 2-0 HT 1-0 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JAP2
27.09.2015 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 0-0 HT 0-0 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JAP2
04.07.2015 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 1-1 HT 0-1 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avispa Fukuoka
0-1
AWAY Tokyo Verdy
0.54 xG 1.03
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 6
350 Passes 307
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
8 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Avispa Fukuoka vs Tokyo Verdy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tokyo Verdy edged past Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 35% — and on the day Tokyo Verdy made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Avispa Fukuoka had 53% of the ball to Tokyo Verdy's 47%, shots finished 8-17, expected goals 0.54 to 1.03.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Avispa Fukuoka and 0.83 for Tokyo Verdy.

What was the final score of Avispa Fukuoka vs Tokyo Verdy?

Avispa Fukuoka 0-1 Tokyo Verdy in the Japan - J1 League on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avispa Fukuoka vs Tokyo Verdy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avispa Fukuoka win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Avispa Fukuoka 37%, draw 27%, Tokyo Verdy 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Avispa Fukuoka) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Avispa Fukuoka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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