Jubilo Iwata 1-2 Kyoto Sanga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
40%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.83
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.13
6+ Goals
10%
19.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.07
1/2
8%
31.5
1/X
7%
12.75
X/1
15%
5.76
X/2
16%
5.43
X/X
13%
3.99
2/1
8%
33.0
2/2
16%
3.74
2/X
6%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-0.8pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.4pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+4.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.2pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jubilo Iwata EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Kyoto Sanga EU Bookmakers 39%
-4% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.27/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.18
+32% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -44%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
311 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 78%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
19.5 Crosses 21.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jubilo Iwata
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Kyoto Sanga
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.62 xG 0.96
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
298 Passes 262
72% Pass Accuracy 72%
24 Box Touches 24
25 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2024 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 0-3 HT 0-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP
05.11.2022 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 0-0 HT 0-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
05.03.2022 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 1-4 HT 0-1 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP
07.11.2021 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 1-0 HT 0-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP2
21.03.2021 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 3-4 HT 0-1 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP2
04.10.2020 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 1-2 HT 1-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jubilo Iwata
1-2
AWAY Kyoto Sanga
1.73 xG 0.87
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 3
242 Passes 269
71% Pass Accuracy 72%
19 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jubilo Iwata vs Kyoto Sanga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kyoto Sanga squeezed past Jubilo Iwata 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 26% / 40% — and on the day Kyoto Sanga made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Jubilo Iwata had 48% of the ball to Kyoto Sanga's 52%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.73 to 0.87 — the balance of chances actually favoured Jubilo Iwata.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jubilo Iwata had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Jubilo Iwata and 1.00 for Kyoto Sanga.

What was the final score of Jubilo Iwata vs Kyoto Sanga?

Jubilo Iwata 1-2 Kyoto Sanga in the Japan - J1 League on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jubilo Iwata vs Kyoto Sanga?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kyoto Sanga win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Jubilo Iwata 34%, draw 26%, Kyoto Sanga 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kyoto Sanga) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kyoto Sanga) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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