Kyoto Sanga 3-0 FC Tokyo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 31 May 2025

📅31/05/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.76
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
4.06
6+ Goals
9%
19.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.35
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
10%
13.95
X/1
15%
5.0
X/2
13%
6.21
X/X
8%
4.39
2/1
8%
28.5
2/2
12%
4.66
2/X
8%
14.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.0pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.6pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+1.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.9pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kyoto Sanga EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Tokyo EU Bookmakers 34%
-16% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +9%
1.39/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.12
-13% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +0%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
305 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 77%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
21.1 Crosses 14.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kyoto Sanga
2W-0D-4L
AWAY FC Tokyo
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.30 xG 1.26
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
252 Passes 269
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.08.2024 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 3-0 HT 2-0 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
03.05.2024 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 2-1 HT 2-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
12.08.2023 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 2-0 HT 1-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
18.06.2023 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 1-3 HT 1-2 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JLK
26.03.2023 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 5-0 HT 2-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JLK
04.03.2023 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kyoto Sanga
3-0
AWAY FC Tokyo
1.97 xG 0.44
36% Ball Possession 64%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
168 Passes 360
63% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 21
11 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kyoto Sanga vs FC Tokyo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kyoto Sanga swept aside FC Tokyo 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kyoto Sanga as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Kyoto Sanga had 36% of the ball to FC Tokyo's 64%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.97 to 0.44.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Tokyo led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Kyoto Sanga and 2.00 for FC Tokyo.

What was the final score of Kyoto Sanga vs FC Tokyo?

Kyoto Sanga 3-0 FC Tokyo in the Japan - J1 League on 31/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kyoto Sanga vs FC Tokyo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kyoto Sanga win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kyoto Sanga 42%, draw 25%, FC Tokyo 33%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kyoto Sanga), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kyoto Sanga) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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