Gamba Osaka 0-1 Kashima Antlers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 31 May 2025

📅31/05/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.99
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
3.76
6+ Goals
10%
16.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.38
1/2
6%
32.0
1/X
7%
13.7
X/1
14%
5.15
X/2
13%
6.16
X/X
12%
4.6
2/1
9%
27.5
2/2
16%
4.44
2/X
8%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-2.5pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.6pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+3.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.4pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gamba Osaka EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Kashima Antlers EU Bookmakers 36%
+1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +6%
1.64/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.25
+19% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
349 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
16.3 Crosses 18.7
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gamba Osaka
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Kashima Antlers
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.55 xG 0.93
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
354 Passes 332
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.06.2024 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 0-0 HT 0-0 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka JAP
28.04.2024 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 1-2 HT 1-1 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
24.06.2023 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 2-1 HT 2-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
29.04.2023 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 4-0 HT 0-0 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka JAP
05.11.2022 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 0-0 HT 0-0 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka JAP
13.07.2022 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 2-0 HT 0-0 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka JPK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gamba Osaka
0-1
AWAY Kashima Antlers
67% Ball Possession 33%
18 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Gamba Osaka vs Kashima Antlers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kashima Antlers nicked a narrow win over Gamba Osaka 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Kashima Antlers found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Gamba Osaka had 67% of the ball to Kashima Antlers's 33%, shots finished 18-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kashima Antlers led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Gamba Osaka and 1.50 for Kashima Antlers.

What was the final score of Gamba Osaka vs Kashima Antlers?

Gamba Osaka 0-1 Kashima Antlers in the Japan - J1 League on 31/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gamba Osaka vs Kashima Antlers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gamba Osaka win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Gamba Osaka 38%, draw 26%, Kashima Antlers 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gamba Osaka) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gamba Osaka) ✓ Under 2.5
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