Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-2 Kawasaki Frontale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 31 May 2025

📅31/05/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.05
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.68
6+ Goals
11%
15.45
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.68 — our 24% vs market 21.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.94
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
9%
13.4
X/1
14%
4.82
X/2
13%
7.08
X/X
11%
4.6
2/1
8%
26.0
2/2
12%
5.29
2/X
7%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-3.1pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.0pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+3.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.1pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Kawasaki Frontale EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -11%
1.46/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.29
-3% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -26%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
357 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 78%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.9
23.6 Crosses 17.9
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Kawasaki Frontale
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.09 xG 1.07
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
328 Passes 383
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 24
25 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.06.2024 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 1-1 HT 1-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
28.04.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-2 HT 1-0 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
19.08.2023 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-2 HT 1-1 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
11.06.2023 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 1-0 HT 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
10.09.2022 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 4-0 HT 1-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
19.03.2022 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0-2 HT 0-0 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1-2
AWAY Kawasaki Frontale
45% Ball Possession 55%
20 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kawasaki Frontale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kawasaki Frontale squeezed past Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Sanfrecce Hiroshima at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Sanfrecce Hiroshima had 45% of the ball to Kawasaki Frontale's 55%, shots finished 20-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kawasaki Frontale led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sanfrecce Hiroshima and 2.00 for Kawasaki Frontale.

What was the final score of Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kawasaki Frontale?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-2 Kawasaki Frontale in the Japan - J1 League on 31/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kawasaki Frontale?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sanfrecce Hiroshima 42%, draw 27%, Kawasaki Frontale 31%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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