Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-2 Kawasaki Frontale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.76
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.24
6+ Goals
10%
11.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.17
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✓
9%
14.9
X/1
16%
3.99
X/2
12%
9.39
X/X
9%
5.44
2/1
7%
22.3
2/2
9%
7.08
2/X
8%
15.5
Value flag · 1/X at 14.9 — our 9% vs market 3.9%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
56%
-8.9pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.8pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+6.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.2pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Kawasaki Frontale EU Bookmakers 24%
-8% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +7%
1.52/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/2.00
-13% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +68% / -25%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
409 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 77%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
24.3 Crosses 11.2
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Kawasaki Frontale
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.82 xG 1.18
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
292 Passes 448
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 31
20 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
19.08.2023 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-2 HT 1-1 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
11.06.2023 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 1-0 HT 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
10.09.2022 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 4-0 HT 1-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
19.03.2022 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0-2 HT 0-0 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
21.08.2021 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-1 HT 1-0 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
18.04.2021 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 1-1 HT 1-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2-2
AWAY Kawasaki Frontale
54% Ball Possession 46%
24 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kawasaki Frontale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Kawasaki Frontale shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Sanfrecce Hiroshima at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Sanfrecce Hiroshima had 54% of the ball to Kawasaki Frontale's 46%, shots finished 24-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kawasaki Frontale led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sanfrecce Hiroshima and 1.83 for Kawasaki Frontale.

What was the final score of Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kawasaki Frontale?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-2 Kawasaki Frontale in the Japan - J1 League on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kawasaki Frontale?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sanfrecce Hiroshima 47%, draw 26%, Kawasaki Frontale 27%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) ✓ BTTS Yes
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