Kyoto Sanga 3-0 FC Tokyo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.03
Over 2.5
42%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.63
No
54%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.85
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
19%
3.19
6+ Goals
9%
10.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.85 — our 30% vs market 20.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.72
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
10%
13.1
X/1
16%
4.66
X/2
14%
7.24
X/X
12%
5.05
2/1
5%
23.6
2/2
14%
5.03
2/X
5%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-7.0pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+4.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
45%
+12.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
55%
-12.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
57%
-10.9pp
54%
BTTS No
43%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kyoto Sanga EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Tokyo EU Bookmakers 32%
-21% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +18%
1.29/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.14
-17% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
312 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 76%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
23.1 Crosses 14.0
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kyoto Sanga
1W-0D-5L
AWAY FC Tokyo
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.01 xG 1.45
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
284 Passes 262
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.05.2024 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 2-1 HT 2-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
12.08.2023 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 2-0 HT 1-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
18.06.2023 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 1-3 HT 1-2 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JLK
26.03.2023 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 5-0 HT 2-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JLK
04.03.2023 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
18.09.2022 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 2-0 HT 1-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kyoto Sanga
3-0
AWAY FC Tokyo
1.32 xG 0.74
36% Ball Possession 64%
18 Total Shots 9
11 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 6
170 Passes 356
68% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kyoto Sanga vs FC Tokyo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kyoto Sanga swept aside FC Tokyo 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Kyoto Sanga found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kyoto Sanga had 36% of the ball to FC Tokyo's 64%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 1.32 to 0.74.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Tokyo led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Kyoto Sanga and 2.33 for FC Tokyo.

What was the final score of Kyoto Sanga vs FC Tokyo?

Kyoto Sanga 3-0 FC Tokyo in the Japan - J1 League on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kyoto Sanga vs FC Tokyo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kyoto Sanga win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Kyoto Sanga 39%, draw 28%, FC Tokyo 33%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kyoto Sanga), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kyoto Sanga) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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