Yokohama F. Marinos 4-0 Cerezo Osaka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.59
Over 2.5
52%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.46
No
47%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.8
2-3 Goals
40%
2.04
4-5 Goals
22%
2.61
6+ Goals
15%
6.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.38
1/2
5%
32.0
1/X
5%
13.1
X/1
11%
4.71
X/2
9%
8.3
X/X
13%
6.2
2/1
6%
20.15
2/2
13%
5.16
2/X
8%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
50%
-3.4pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.2pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+1.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
35%
+13.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
65%
-13.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
64%
-11.7pp
47%
BTTS No
36%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerezo Osaka EU Bookmakers 30%
+7% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +0%
1.93/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.35
+28% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +29%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
511 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 78%
29.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
20.7 Crosses 17.4
1.3 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Cerezo Osaka
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.68 xG 1.21
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
517 Passes 261
86% Pass Accuracy 73%
30 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
27.04.2024 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 2-2 HT 1-1 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
12.11.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 2-0 HT 2-0 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP
01.04.2023 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 2-1 HT 2-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
10.07.2022 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 2-2 HT 1-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
19.02.2022 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 2-2 HT 0-1 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP
24.10.2021 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 2-1 HT 2-1 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos
4-0
AWAY Cerezo Osaka
2.50 xG 0.81
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
438 Passes 290
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Yokohama F. Marinos vs Cerezo Osaka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yokohama F. Marinos cruised past Cerezo Osaka 4-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Yokohama F. Marinos as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Yokohama F. Marinos had 59% of the ball to Cerezo Osaka's 41%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 2.50 to 0.81.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerezo Osaka led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Yokohama F. Marinos and 1.67 for Cerezo Osaka.

What was the final score of Yokohama F. Marinos vs Cerezo Osaka?

Yokohama F. Marinos 4-0 Cerezo Osaka in the Japan - J1 League on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Cerezo Osaka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yokohama F. Marinos win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Yokohama F. Marinos 46%, draw 26%, Cerezo Osaka 28%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yokohama F. Marinos), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Yokohama F. Marinos) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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