Azul Claro Numazu 3-2 Vegalta Sendai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - League Cup, 6 Mar 2024

📅06/03/2024 · 🕒13:03 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.84
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
31%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.8
Over 2.5
40%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+6.4pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.6pp
31%
Away Win
41%
-9.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
52%
+8.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
48%
-8.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.7pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Azul Claro Numazu EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Vegalta Sendai EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / -41%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
323 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Azul Claro Numazu
3-2
AWAY Vegalta Sendai
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Azul Claro Numazu vs Vegalta Sendai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Azul Claro Numazu edged past Vegalta Sendai 3-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 31% / 31%) promised a tight game; Azul Claro Numazu found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Azul Claro Numazu had 51% of the ball to Vegalta Sendai's 49%, shots finished 9-14.

What was the final score of Azul Claro Numazu vs Vegalta Sendai?

Azul Claro Numazu 3-2 Vegalta Sendai in the Japan - League Cup on 06/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Azul Claro Numazu vs Vegalta Sendai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Azul Claro Numazu win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Azul Claro Numazu 38%, draw 31%, Vegalta Sendai 31%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Azul Claro Numazu) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Azul Claro Numazu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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