Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-0 Oita Trinita — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - League Cup, 6 Mar 2024

📅06/03/2024 · 🕒13:03 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
3.08
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
32%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
29%
+9.2pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.8pp
32%
Away Win
44%
-12.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.0pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Giravanz Kitakyushu EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Oita Trinita EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
321 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Giravanz Kitakyushu
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Oita Trinita
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
23.09.2015 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 2-1 HT 1-1 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP2
31.05.2015 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 2-1 HT 2-1 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
26.07.2014 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-1 HT 0-0 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
09.03.2014 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 1-0 HT 0-0 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Giravanz Kitakyushu
1-0
AWAY Oita Trinita
39% Ball Possession 61%
18 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Oita Trinita
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Giravanz Kitakyushu squeezed past Oita Trinita 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and on the day Giravanz Kitakyushu made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Giravanz Kitakyushu had 39% of the ball to Oita Trinita's 61%, shots finished 18-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Oita Trinita led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Giravanz Kitakyushu and 1.25 for Oita Trinita.

What was the final score of Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Oita Trinita?

Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-0 Oita Trinita in the Japan - League Cup on 06/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Oita Trinita?

Before kick-off our model rated a Giravanz Kitakyushu win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Giravanz Kitakyushu 38%, draw 30%, Oita Trinita 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Giravanz Kitakyushu), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Giravanz Kitakyushu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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