Ehime FC 3-4 V-Varen Nagasaki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - League Cup, 6 Mar 2024

📅06/03/2024 · 🕒13:03 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
35%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.76
No
56%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
32%
+9.0pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.7pp
35%
Away Win
41%
-6.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.5pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ehime FC EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY V-Varen Nagasaki EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
309 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ehime FC
0W-2D-4L
AWAY V-Varen Nagasaki
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
41% Ball Possession 59%
5 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
10.10.2021 Ehime FC Ehime FC 0-2 HT 0-1 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
13.03.2021 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 1-1 HT 0-1 Ehime FC Ehime FC JAP2
21.10.2020 Ehime FC Ehime FC 1-4 HT 0-0 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
11.07.2020 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 2-0 HT 0-0 Ehime FC Ehime FC JAP2
26.06.2016 Ehime FC Ehime FC 0-1 HT 0-0 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
10.10.2015 Ehime FC Ehime FC 0-0 HT 0-0 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ehime FC
3-4
AWAY V-Varen Nagasaki
42% Ball Possession 58%
17 Total Shots 29
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ehime FC vs V-Varen Nagasaki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

V-Varen Nagasaki nicked a narrow win over Ehime FC 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Ehime FC at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ehime FC had 42% of the ball to V-Varen Nagasaki's 58%, shots finished 17-29.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, V-Varen Nagasaki led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Ehime FC and 1.67 for V-Varen Nagasaki.

What was the final score of Ehime FC vs V-Varen Nagasaki?

Ehime FC 3-4 V-Varen Nagasaki in the Japan - League Cup on 06/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ehime FC vs V-Varen Nagasaki?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ehime FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ehime FC 41%, draw 24%, V-Varen Nagasaki 35%. The final score 3-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ehime FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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