Kagoshima United 1-0 JEF United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - League Cup, 6 Mar 2024

📅06/03/2024 · 🕒13:03 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.75
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
37%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
23%
+10.6pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.2pp
37%
Away Win
52%
-14.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.0pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kagoshima United EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY JEF United EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
261 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kagoshima United
1-0
AWAY JEF United
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 5
6 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kagoshima United vs JEF United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kagoshima United nicked a narrow win over JEF United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 29% / 37%) promised a tight game; Kagoshima United found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Kagoshima United had 49% of the ball to JEF United's 51%, shots finished 14-10.

What was the final score of Kagoshima United vs JEF United?

Kagoshima United 1-0 JEF United in the Japan - League Cup on 06/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kagoshima United vs JEF United?

Before kick-off our model rated an JEF United win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Kagoshima United 34%, draw 29%, JEF United 37%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (JEF United) ✗ BTTS Yes
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