Xelaju MC 0-3 Achuapa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 6 Mar 2025

Xelaju MC
0-3 HT 0-1
Achuapa
📅06/03/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Guatemala - National League – 2024/2025

Xelaju MC vs Achuapa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
16%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.27
No
59%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
69%
-7.5pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.8pp
16%
Away Win
11%
+4.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.4pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Xelaju MC v Achuapa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xelaju MC EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Achuapa EU Bookmakers 14%
+5% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
2.05/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.92
+2% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -3%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
363 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5

Xelaju MC vs Achuapa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Xelaju MC
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Achuapa
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
46% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
20.01.2025 Achuapa Achuapa 2-0 HT 2-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
27.10.2024 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 2-0 HT 0-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
12.08.2024 Achuapa Achuapa 0-0 HT 0-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
11.04.2024 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 4-1 HT 1-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
03.12.2023 Achuapa Achuapa 1-3 HT 0-1 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
01.12.2023 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 3-1 HT 3-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
POST-MATCH Xelaju MC vs Achuapa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Achuapa ran out comfortable winners over Xelaju MC 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Xelaju MC carried 61% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (59%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Xelaju MC had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Xelaju MC and 0.83 for Achuapa.

What was the final score of Xelaju MC vs Achuapa?

Xelaju MC 0-3 Achuapa in the Guatemala - National League on 06/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xelaju MC vs Achuapa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Xelaju MC win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Xelaju MC 61%, draw 23%, Achuapa 16%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Xelaju MC), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Xelaju MC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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