BUL 1-0 Kitara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 6 Mar 2025

BUL
1-0 HT 0-0
Kitara
📅06/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
Over 2.5
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
No
65%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-0.9pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.3pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BUL EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Kitara EU Bookmakers 31%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.55/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/0.72
+44% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +92% / +44%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
346 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BUL
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Kitara
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
40% Ball Possession 60%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
25.10.2024 Kitara Kitara 1-3 HT 1-2 BUL BUL UGA
29.03.2024 Kitara Kitara 0-0 HT 0-0 BUL BUL UGA
26.11.2023 BUL BUL 2-1 HT 2-0 Kitara Kitara UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BUL
1-0
AWAY Kitara
49% Ball Possession 51%
5 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH BUL vs Kitara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BUL nicked a narrow win over Kitara 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had BUL as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (65%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, BUL had 49% of the ball to Kitara's 51%, shots finished 5-4.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, BUL had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for BUL and 0.67 for Kitara.

What was the final score of BUL vs Kitara?

BUL 1-0 Kitara in the Uganda - Premier League on 06/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BUL vs Kitara?

Before kick-off our model rated a BUL win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split BUL 43%, draw 28%, Kitara 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BUL), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (BUL) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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