Uganda Police 0-1 Vipers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 6 Mar 2025

📅06/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
6.35
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
54%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.74
Over 2.5
36%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.33
No
64%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
23%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
13%
+6.1pp
27%
Draw
21%
+5.9pp
54%
Away Win
66%
-12.0pp
64%
Under 2.5
54%
+10.8pp
36%
Over 2.5
46%
-10.8pp
36%
BTTS Yes
39%
-2.7pp
64%
BTTS No
61%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uganda Police EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Vipers EU Bookmakers 70%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
0.44/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/0.29
-42% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +123% / +150%
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
262 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uganda Police
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Vipers
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
5 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.10.2024 Vipers Vipers 2-1 HT 1-1 Uganda Police Uganda Police UGA
17.10.2021 Uganda Police Uganda Police 0-2 HT 0-1 Vipers Vipers UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uganda Police
0-1
AWAY Vipers
55% Ball Possession 45%
6 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Uganda Police vs Vipers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vipers squeezed past Uganda Police 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Vipers as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Uganda Police had 55% of the ball to Vipers's 45%, shots finished 6-15.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Vipers led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Uganda Police and 2.00 for Vipers.

What was the final score of Uganda Police vs Vipers?

Uganda Police 0-1 Vipers in the Uganda - Premier League on 06/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uganda Police vs Vipers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vipers win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Uganda Police 19%, draw 27%, Vipers 54%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vipers), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vipers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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