Lugazi Municipal 1-0 Express — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 6 Mar 2025

📅06/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.05
Draw
39%
2.94
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
Over 2.5
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.19
No
51%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
29%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Draw ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
45%
-13.5pp
39%
Draw
30%
+8.9pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
42%
+7.2pp
51%
BTTS No
58%
-7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lugazi Municipal EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Express EU Bookmakers 29%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.00/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/0.87
-10% / +87% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
308 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lugazi Municipal
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Express
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
22.10.2024 Express Express 0-1 HT 0-1 Lugazi Municipal UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lugazi Municipal
1-0
AWAY Express
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lugazi Municipal vs Express
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lugazi Municipal squeezed past Express 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 39% / 30% — and on the day Lugazi Municipal made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%) came in.

On the day, Lugazi Municipal had 52% of the ball to Express's 48%, shots finished 11-9.

What was the final score of Lugazi Municipal vs Express?

Lugazi Municipal 1-0 Express in the Uganda - Premier League on 06/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lugazi Municipal vs Express?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Lugazi Municipal 31%, draw 39%, Express 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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