Slavia Sofia vs Spartak Varna Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Slavia Sofia v Spartak Varna — Team-Based Signals
Slavia Sofia vs Spartak Varna Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Slavia Sofia 4-0 Spartak Varna — Actual Match Statistics
Slavia Sofia ran out comfortable winners over Spartak Varna 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Slavia Sofia as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Slavia Sofia had 54% of the ball to Spartak Varna's 46%, shots finished 11-10.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Slavia Sofia had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Slavia Sofia and 1.00 for Spartak Varna.
What was the final score of Slavia Sofia vs Spartak Varna?
Slavia Sofia 4-0 Spartak Varna in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 06/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Slavia Sofia vs Spartak Varna?
Before kick-off our model rated a Slavia Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Slavia Sofia 52%, draw 26%, Spartak Varna 22%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slavia Sofia), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.