Ammanford 2-1 Cardiff Draconians — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 6 Mar 2026

📅06/03/2026 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.72
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
32%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
7%
2/1
12%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
54%
-6.4pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.2pp
32%
Away Win
21%
+10.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.4pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ammanford EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Cardiff Draconians EU Bookmakers 24%
-1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
2.36/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.69
+14% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +150%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
395 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ammanford
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Cardiff Draconians
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
26.07.2025 Cardiff Draconians 0-1 HT 0-0 Ammanford Ammanford GALFAW
POST-MATCH Ammanford vs Cardiff Draconians
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ammanford squeezed past Cardiff Draconians 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ammanford as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

What was the final score of Ammanford vs Cardiff Draconians?

Ammanford 2-1 Cardiff Draconians in the Wales - FAW Championship on 06/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ammanford vs Cardiff Draconians?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ammanford win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Ammanford 48%, draw 20%, Cardiff Draconians 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ammanford), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ammanford) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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