Newtown 0-5 Gresford Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 6 Mar 2026

Newtown
0-5 HT 0-2
Gresford Athletic
📅06/03/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2025/2026

Newtown vs Gresford Athletic Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.57
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.53
No
43%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
60%
-2.4pp
20%
Draw
21%
-1.0pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+3.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
61%
-4.1pp
43%
BTTS No
39%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Newtown v Gresford Athletic — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newtown EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Gresford Athletic EU Bookmakers 22%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -7%
2.98/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/2.48
+30% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
346 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.0

Newtown vs Gresford Athletic Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newtown
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Gresford Athletic
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
31.10.2025 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic 1-2 HT 0-1 Newtown Newtown GALFAW
POST-MATCH Newtown vs Gresford Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gresford Athletic cruised past Newtown 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Newtown at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Newtown vs Gresford Athletic?

Newtown 0-5 Gresford Athletic in the Wales - FAW Championship on 06/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newtown vs Gresford Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newtown win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Newtown 57%, draw 20%, Gresford Athletic 23%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Newtown), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Newtown) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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