Pontypridd Town AFC 0-4 Llantwit Major — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 6 Mar 2026

📅06/03/2026 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.9
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.74
Over 2.5
50%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
13%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-8.3pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.3pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+5.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
54%
-3.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
46%
+3.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.0pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pontypridd Town AFC EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Llantwit Major EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +4%
2.11/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.57
+8% / +78% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
344 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pontypridd Town AFC
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Llantwit Major
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
11.10.2025 Llantwit Major 2-0 HT 2-0 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC GALFAW
23.11.2024 Llantwit Major 1-1 HT 0-0 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC GALFAW
07.09.2024 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC 1-1 HT 0-0 Llantwit Major GALFAW
12.02.2022 Llantwit Major 3-1 HT 3-0 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC GALFAW
POST-MATCH Pontypridd Town AFC vs Llantwit Major
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Llantwit Major ran out comfortable winners over Pontypridd Town AFC 4-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; Llantwit Major found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Llantwit Major led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Pontypridd Town AFC and 1.75 for Llantwit Major.

What was the final score of Pontypridd Town AFC vs Llantwit Major?

Pontypridd Town AFC 0-4 Llantwit Major in the Wales - FAW Championship on 06/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pontypridd Town AFC vs Llantwit Major?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pontypridd Town AFC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Pontypridd Town AFC 40%, draw 30%, Llantwit Major 30%. The final score 0-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pontypridd Town AFC) ✗ BTTS Yes
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