Llantwit Major 2-0 Pontypridd Town AFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 11 Oct 2025

📅11/10/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.47
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
42%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.97
Over 2.5
45%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-2.3pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.7pp
42%
Away Win
37%
+5.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
47%
+8.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
53%
-8.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.5pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Llantwit Major EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Pontypridd Town AFC EU Bookmakers 40%
+10% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.98/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.65
-40% / +111% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +2%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
299 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Llantwit Major
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Pontypridd Town AFC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
23.11.2024 Llantwit Major 1-1 HT 0-0 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC GALFAW
07.09.2024 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC 1-1 HT 0-0 Llantwit Major GALFAW
12.02.2022 Llantwit Major 3-1 HT 3-0 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC GALFAW
POST-MATCH Llantwit Major vs Pontypridd Town AFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Llantwit Major saw off Pontypridd Town AFC 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Pontypridd Town AFC at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Llantwit Major had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Llantwit Major and 1.00 for Pontypridd Town AFC.

What was the final score of Llantwit Major vs Pontypridd Town AFC?

Llantwit Major 2-0 Pontypridd Town AFC in the Wales - FAW Championship on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Llantwit Major vs Pontypridd Town AFC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pontypridd Town AFC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Llantwit Major 35%, draw 24%, Pontypridd Town AFC 42%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Pontypridd Town AFC), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pontypridd Town AFC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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