Saburtalo 1-0 Dila Gori — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 6 Mar 2026

📅06/03/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-1.3pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.6pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.5pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saburtalo EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Dila Gori EU Bookmakers 29%
+9% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +5%
1.57/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.16
+13% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +60% / +19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
336 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saburtalo
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Dila Gori
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.12.2025 Saburtalo 1-3 HT 0-1 Dila Gori Dila Gori GURCK
26.10.2025 Saburtalo 2-1 HT 2-0 Dila Gori Dila Gori GUR
17.08.2025 Dila Gori Dila Gori 0-6 HT 0-2 Saburtalo GUR
02.05.2025 Saburtalo 1-0 HT 0-0 Dila Gori Dila Gori GUR
10.03.2025 Dila Gori Dila Gori 0-1 HT 0-1 Saburtalo GUR
08.11.2024 Saburtalo 3-2 HT 1-0 Dila Gori Dila Gori GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saburtalo
1-0
AWAY Dila Gori
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Saburtalo vs Dila Gori
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saburtalo edged past Dila Gori 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Saburtalo as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Saburtalo had 56% of the ball to Dila Gori's 44%, shots finished 11-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Saburtalo had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Saburtalo and 1.00 for Dila Gori.

What was the final score of Saburtalo vs Dila Gori?

Saburtalo 1-0 Dila Gori in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 06/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saburtalo vs Dila Gori?

Before kick-off our model rated a Saburtalo win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Saburtalo 46%, draw 23%, Dila Gori 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saburtalo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Saburtalo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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