Saburtalo 1-3 Dila Gori — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Gürcitan Cup, 10 Dec 2025

📅10/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.57
Draw
23%
2.88
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.59
Over 2.5
45%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
35%
+8.1pp
23%
Draw
31%
-7.5pp
34%
Away Win
34%
-0.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.1pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saburtalo EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Dila Gori EU Bookmakers 38%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
311 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saburtalo
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Dila Gori
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2025 Saburtalo 2-1 HT 2-0 Dila Gori Dila Gori GUR
17.08.2025 Dila Gori Dila Gori 0-6 HT 0-2 Saburtalo GUR
02.05.2025 Saburtalo 1-0 HT 0-0 Dila Gori Dila Gori GUR
10.03.2025 Dila Gori Dila Gori 0-1 HT 0-1 Saburtalo GUR
08.11.2024 Saburtalo 3-2 HT 1-0 Dila Gori Dila Gori GUR
31.08.2024 Dila Gori Dila Gori 1-3 HT 0-3 Saburtalo GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saburtalo
1-3
AWAY Dila Gori
65% Ball Possession 35%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Saburtalo vs Dila Gori
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dila Gori saw off Saburtalo 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Saburtalo at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Saburtalo had 65% of the ball to Dila Gori's 35%, shots finished 17-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Saburtalo had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Saburtalo and 0.67 for Dila Gori.

What was the final score of Saburtalo vs Dila Gori?

Saburtalo 1-3 Dila Gori in the Gürcitan Cup on 10/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saburtalo vs Dila Gori?

Before kick-off our model rated a Saburtalo win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Saburtalo 43%, draw 23%, Dila Gori 34%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Saburtalo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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