Saburtalo 1-0 Dila Gori — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 2 May 2025

📅02/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
35%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.64
Over 2.5
40%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-5.4pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.6pp
35%
Away Win
28%
+7.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.8pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saburtalo EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Dila Gori EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.90/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/0.91
+37% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +95% / +47%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
282 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saburtalo
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Dila Gori
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.03.2025 Dila Gori Dila Gori 0-1 HT 0-1 Saburtalo GUR
08.11.2024 Saburtalo 3-2 HT 1-0 Dila Gori Dila Gori GUR
31.08.2024 Dila Gori Dila Gori 1-3 HT 0-3 Saburtalo GUR
14.05.2024 Saburtalo 1-4 HT 0-3 Dila Gori Dila Gori GUR
29.03.2024 Dila Gori Dila Gori 3-1 HT 1-1 Saburtalo GUR
28.10.2023 Dila Gori Dila Gori 3-0 HT 1-0 Saburtalo GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saburtalo
1-0
AWAY Dila Gori
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 9
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Saburtalo vs Dila Gori
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saburtalo squeezed past Dila Gori 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 35% — and on the day Saburtalo made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Saburtalo had 38% of the ball to Dila Gori's 62%, shots finished 10-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Saburtalo and 2.17 for Dila Gori.

What was the final score of Saburtalo vs Dila Gori?

Saburtalo 1-0 Dila Gori in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saburtalo vs Dila Gori?

Before kick-off our model rated a Saburtalo win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Saburtalo 38%, draw 26%, Dila Gori 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saburtalo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Saburtalo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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