Saburtalo 3-2 Dila Gori — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 8 Nov 2024

📅08/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-1.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.4pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saburtalo EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Dila Gori EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
2.18/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/0.68
+44% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +101% / +118%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
359 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saburtalo
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Dila Gori
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
31.08.2024 Dila Gori Dila Gori 1-3 HT 0-3 Saburtalo GUR
14.05.2024 Saburtalo 1-4 HT 0-3 Dila Gori Dila Gori GUR
29.03.2024 Dila Gori Dila Gori 3-1 HT 1-1 Saburtalo GUR
28.10.2023 Dila Gori Dila Gori 3-0 HT 1-0 Saburtalo GUR
24.10.2023 Dila Gori Dila Gori 0-0 HT 0-0 Saburtalo GURCK
20.08.2023 Saburtalo 1-2 HT 1-1 Dila Gori Dila Gori GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saburtalo
3-2
AWAY Dila Gori
37% Ball Possession 63%
11 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 8
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Saburtalo vs Dila Gori
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saburtalo nicked a narrow win over Dila Gori 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Saburtalo as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Saburtalo had 37% of the ball to Dila Gori's 63%, shots finished 11-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dila Gori led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Saburtalo and 2.17 for Dila Gori.

What was the final score of Saburtalo vs Dila Gori?

Saburtalo 3-2 Dila Gori in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saburtalo vs Dila Gori?

Before kick-off our model rated a Saburtalo win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Saburtalo 47%, draw 27%, Dila Gori 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saburtalo), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Saburtalo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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