Darlington 1883 2-0 Southport — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.86
Over 2.5
41%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.82
No
58%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.3
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.58
6+ Goals
8%
14.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.3 — our 34% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-4.6pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.5pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+3.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
50%
+9.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
50%
-9.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.9pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Darlington 1883 EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Southport EU Bookmakers 24%
-17% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +20%
1.60/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.81
-11% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
411 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 204 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Darlington 1883
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Southport
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.01.2024 Southport Southport 2-0 HT 1-0 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
31.01.2023 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 0-0 HT 0-0 Southport Southport İCON
16.08.2022 Southport Southport 1-0 HT 1-0 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
22.03.2022 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 1-0 HT 1-0 Southport Southport İCON
30.11.2021 Southport Southport 1-1 HT 1-0 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 FAK
26.10.2021 Southport Southport 3-0 HT 2-0 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Darlington 1883
2-0
AWAY Southport
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Darlington 1883 vs Southport
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Darlington 1883 beat Southport 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Darlington 1883 as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Darlington 1883 had 58% of the ball to Southport's 42%, shots finished 18-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Southport led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Darlington 1883 and 1.17 for Southport.

What was the final score of Darlington 1883 vs Southport?

Darlington 1883 2-0 Southport in the England - Conference on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Darlington 1883 vs Southport?

Before kick-off our model rated a Darlington 1883 win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Darlington 1883 49%, draw 26%, Southport 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Darlington 1883), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Darlington 1883) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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