06/04/2024
·
15:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-0
Ansbach 09 vs Memmingen Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
49%
26%
Draw
24%
23%
Away Win
26%
51%
Under 2.5
41%
49%
Over 2.5
59%
46%
BTTS Yes
60%
54%
BTTS No
40%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ansbach 09 v Memmingen — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Ansbach 09
EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY
Memmingen
EU Bookmakers 29%
+7% /
+7%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-3% /
+4%
3.08/1.10
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.06/1.68
+69%
/
+8%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-15%
/
+0%
50%
Ball Possession
50%
12
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
377 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
365 · 81%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
2.2
Ansbach 09 vs Memmingen Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Ansbach 09
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Memmingen
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
The Meetings
22.09.2023
Memmingen
2-1
HT 1-1
Ansbach 09
ALMBÖL
2-1
HT 1-1
Ansbach 09
ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH
Ansbach 09 vs Memmingen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Memmingen edged past Ansbach 09 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Ansbach 09 at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
What was the final score of Ansbach 09 vs Memmingen?
Ansbach 09 0-1 Memmingen in the Germany - Regional League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ansbach 09 vs Memmingen?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ansbach 09 win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Ansbach 09 51%, draw 26%, Memmingen 23%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ansbach 09) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Ansbach 09)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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ALMBÖL
More Germany - Regional League
6 Apr 2024