Eintracht Bamberg 2-6 Nürnberg II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.48
Draw
18%
3.94
Away
54%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.38
Over 2.5 OUR CALL
61%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.6
No
41%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
4%
2/1
7%
2/2
32%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
20%
+9.0pp
18%
Draw
22%
-4.7pp
54%
Away Win
58%
-4.3pp
39%
Under 2.5
38%
+1.3pp
61%
Over 2.5
62%
-1.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.4pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eintracht Bamberg EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Nürnberg II EU Bookmakers 62%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
0.89/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.45
-22% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -31%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
341 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eintracht Bamberg
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Nürnberg II
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 7
23.09.2023 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 4-0 HT 3-0 Eintracht Bamberg Eintracht Bamberg ALMBÖL
26.09.2014 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 3-1 HT 0-1 Eintracht Bamberg Eintracht Bamberg ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eintracht Bamberg
2-6
AWAY Nürnberg II
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 11
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Eintracht Bamberg vs Nürnberg II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nürnberg II ran out comfortable winners over Eintracht Bamberg 6-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Nürnberg II as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 6-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Eintracht Bamberg had 39% of the ball to Nürnberg II's 61%, shots finished 7-18.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Nürnberg II led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Eintracht Bamberg and 3.50 for Nürnberg II.

What was the final score of Eintracht Bamberg vs Nürnberg II?

Eintracht Bamberg 2-6 Nürnberg II in the Germany - Regional League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eintracht Bamberg vs Nürnberg II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nürnberg II win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Eintracht Bamberg 28%, draw 18%, Nürnberg II 54%. The final score 2-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nürnberg II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nürnberg II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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