Greuther Fürth II 0-1 Bayreuth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
47%
-0.0pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.7pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-1.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.0pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greuther Fürth II EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayreuth EU Bookmakers 32%
-12% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -7%
1.56/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.75
-8% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
299 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 20.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greuther Fürth II
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Bayreuth
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
55% Ball Possession 44%
6 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
22.09.2023 Bayreuth Bayreuth 2-2 HT 1-2 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II ALMBÖL
06.11.2021 Bayreuth Bayreuth 4-0 HT 2-0 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II ALMBÖL
23.07.2021 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 0-5 HT 0-3 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
21.09.2019 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 2-0 HT 0-0 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
20.04.2015 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 1-1 HT 0-0 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Greuther Fürth II vs Bayreuth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayreuth squeezed past Greuther Fürth II 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Greuther Fürth II at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Bayreuth led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Greuther Fürth II and 2.40 for Bayreuth.

What was the final score of Greuther Fürth II vs Bayreuth?

Greuther Fürth II 0-1 Bayreuth in the Germany - Regional League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greuther Fürth II vs Bayreuth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Greuther Fürth II win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Greuther Fürth II 47%, draw 26%, Bayreuth 27%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Greuther Fürth II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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