Havelse 4-0 Spelle-Venhaus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.25
Draw
23%
5.71
Away
14%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.63
Over 2.5
52%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
46%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
4%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
76%
-13.2pp
24%
Draw
15%
+8.8pp
14%
Away Win
10%
+4.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
34%
+13.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
66%
-13.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.1pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Havelse EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Spelle-Venhaus EU Bookmakers 12%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
0.97/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/3.49
-59% / +82% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -33%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
404 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 190 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Havelse
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Spelle-Venhaus
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
08.10.2023 Spelle-Venhaus 1-3 HT 1-1 Havelse Havelse ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Havelse vs Spelle-Venhaus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Havelse swept aside Spelle-Venhaus 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Havelse as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

What was the final score of Havelse vs Spelle-Venhaus?

Havelse 4-0 Spelle-Venhaus in the Germany - Regional League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Havelse vs Spelle-Venhaus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Havelse win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Havelse 63%, draw 24%, Spelle-Venhaus 14%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Havelse), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Havelse) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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