06/04/2024
·
15:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
3-1
Havelse vs Spelle-Venhaus Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
46%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
4%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Home Win
★★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
76%
24%
Draw
15%
14%
Away Win
10%
48%
Under 2.5
34%
52%
Over 2.5
66%
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
47%
BTTS No
51%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Havelse v Spelle-Venhaus — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Havelse
EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY
Spelle-Venhaus
EU Bookmakers 12%
-18% /
-18%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-12% /
-12%
0.97/0.50
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.78/3.49
-59%
/
+82%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-17%
/
-33%
61%
Ball Possession
39%
18
Total Shots
10
7
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
404 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
190 · 67%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.0
Yellow Cards
1.5
Havelse vs Spelle-Venhaus Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Havelse
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Spelle-Venhaus
3.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
The Meetings
08.10.2023
Spelle-Venhaus
1-3
HT 1-1
Havelse
ALMBÖL
Havelse
ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH
Havelse vs Spelle-Venhaus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Havelse swept aside Spelle-Venhaus 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Havelse as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
What was the final score of Havelse vs Spelle-Venhaus?
Havelse 4-0 Spelle-Venhaus in the Germany - Regional League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Havelse vs Spelle-Venhaus?
Before kick-off our model rated a Havelse win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Havelse 63%, draw 24%, Spelle-Venhaus 14%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Havelse), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Havelse)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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ALMBÖL
More Germany - Regional League
6 Apr 2024