Western United 4-2 Macarthur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 6 Apr 2024

Western United
4-2 HT 0-2
Macarthur
📅06/04/2024 · 🕒07:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Australia - A-League – 2023/2024

Western United vs Macarthur Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
36%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.74
Over 2.5
62%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.39
No
40%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
6.59
2-3 Goals
37%
2.14
4-5 Goals
27%
2.5
6+ Goals
18%
5.17
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.6
1/2
8%
28.0
1/X
8%
12.65
X/1
6%
5.13
X/2
16%
7.5
X/X
9%
6.39
2/1
12%
20.3
2/2
12%
4.36
2/X
7%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
47%
-6.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.1pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+6.3pp
38%
Under 2.5
33%
+5.5pp
62%
Over 2.5
67%
-5.4pp
60%
BTTS Yes
68%
-7.7pp
40%
BTTS No
32%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Western United v Macarthur — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Western United EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Macarthur EU Bookmakers 33%
+4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -9%
1.39/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/2.04
-25% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
372 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 79%
30.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.2
22.4 Crosses 20.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.9

Western United vs Macarthur Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Western United
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Macarthur
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.15 xG 1.57
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
414 Passes 392
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
38 Box Touches 22
23 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
12.01.2024 Macarthur Macarthur 3-3 HT 1-1 Western United Western United AVUS
04.11.2023 Macarthur Macarthur 1-0 HT 0-0 Western United Western United AVUS
28.01.2023 Macarthur Macarthur 2-2 HT 0-0 Western United Western United AVUS
21.10.2022 Western United Western United 1-1 HT 0-1 Macarthur Macarthur AVUS
19.04.2022 Western United Western United 2-0 HT 0-0 Macarthur Macarthur AVUS
01.02.2022 Macarthur Macarthur 2-2 HT 0-1 Western United Western United AVUS

Western United 4-2 Macarthur — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Western United
4-2
AWAY Macarthur
2.93 xG 3.21
49% Ball Possession 51%
26 Total Shots 20
10 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
386 Passes 384
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
52 Box Touches 46
19 Crosses 15
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Western United vs Macarthur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Western United saw off Macarthur 4-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (41% / 24% / 36%) promised a tight game; Western United found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Western United had 49% of the ball to Macarthur's 51%, shots finished 26-20, expected goals 2.93 to 3.21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Western United and 1.50 for Macarthur.

What was the final score of Western United vs Macarthur?

Western United 4-2 Macarthur in the Australia - A-League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Western United vs Macarthur?

Before kick-off our model rated a Western United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Western United 41%, draw 24%, Macarthur 36%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Western United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Western United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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