Rogaska 2-3 Olimpija Ljubljana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.13
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
48%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.03
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
26%
3.1
6+ Goals
9%
9.99
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
21%
+3.6pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.1pp
48%
Away Win
55%
-7.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.4pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rogaska EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Olimpija Ljubljana EU Bookmakers 60%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
2.06/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.15/1.10
+115% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -16%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
322 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 417 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rogaska
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Olimpija Ljubljana
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
35% Ball Possession 65%
11 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
6 Yellow Cards 4
10.02.2024 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 2-2 HT 0-2 Rogaska Rogaska SLVN
01.10.2023 Rogaska Rogaska 0-2 HT 0-0 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
29.07.2023 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 5-0 HT 2-0 Rogaska Rogaska SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rogaska
2-3
AWAY Olimpija Ljubljana
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rogaska vs Olimpija Ljubljana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olimpija Ljubljana squeezed past Rogaska 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Olimpija Ljubljana as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Rogaska had 47% of the ball to Olimpija Ljubljana's 53%, shots finished 11-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Olimpija Ljubljana led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Rogaska and 3.00 for Olimpija Ljubljana.

What was the final score of Rogaska vs Olimpija Ljubljana?

Rogaska 2-3 Olimpija Ljubljana in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rogaska vs Olimpija Ljubljana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Olimpija Ljubljana win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Rogaska 25%, draw 28%, Olimpija Ljubljana 48%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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